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Survey: Most Germans see Merz's coalition as divided after 100 days

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  After 100 days in office, Germany's conservative-led coalition government is widely seen as divided, according to a new survey by public broadcaster ZDF. The coalition comprises Chancellor Friedrich Merz's conservative Christian Democrats (CDU), their Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), and the centre-left Social Democrats (SDP).

Survey Reveals Majority of Germans Doubt CDU's Readiness to Govern Under Merz


In a revealing snapshot of public sentiment ahead of Germany's upcoming federal elections, a recent survey has highlighted widespread skepticism among the populace regarding the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its leader, Friedrich Merz. The poll, conducted by a prominent research institute, indicates that a significant majority of Germans believe the CDU is not yet prepared to take the reins of government, casting a shadow over the party's ambitions to reclaim power after years in opposition.

The survey, which polled over 1,000 respondents across various demographics, found that 58% of participants view the CDU under Merz's leadership as inadequately equipped to handle the complexities of governing the country. This perception stems from a variety of factors, including internal party divisions, policy ambiguities, and Merz's own public image, which some critics describe as polarizing. Only 32% of those surveyed expressed confidence in the party's readiness, with the remaining 10% undecided. These figures underscore a broader disillusionment with the conservative opposition, even as the current coalition government led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz faces its own challenges amid economic pressures and geopolitical tensions.

Friedrich Merz, who assumed leadership of the CDU in 2022 following a period of turmoil after Angela Merkel's long tenure, has positioned himself as a no-nonsense reformer intent on steering the party toward a more assertive, market-oriented conservatism. His rhetoric often emphasizes fiscal discipline, a tougher stance on immigration, and a revitalized approach to Germany's role in Europe. However, the survey suggests that these efforts have not fully resonated with the electorate. Respondents cited concerns over the party's handling of key issues such as energy policy, climate change, and social welfare reforms. For instance, many felt that the CDU has not presented a coherent alternative to the traffic-light coalition's (comprising the Social Democrats, Greens, and Free Democrats) strategies for addressing inflation and the ongoing energy crisis triggered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Delving deeper into the demographics, the poll reveals stark divides. Among younger voters aged 18-29, skepticism is even higher, with 65% doubting the CDU's preparedness. This group, often more attuned to progressive issues like environmental sustainability and digital innovation, appears alienated by Merz's traditionalist leanings. In contrast, older demographics, particularly those over 60, show slightly more faith, with 40% believing the party is ready—a nod perhaps to the CDU's historical stronghold among conservative retirees. Regional variations also emerge: in eastern Germany, where the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained traction, the CDU's perceived weaknesses are amplified, with 62% of respondents there expressing doubts. Western states, traditionally more supportive of the CDU, still show a majority (55%) in the skeptical camp, indicating a nationwide trend.

Experts interpreting the survey point to several underlying reasons for this public hesitance. Political analysts argue that Merz's leadership style, characterized by sharp critiques of the government but lacking in detailed policy blueprints, has failed to inspire confidence. "Merz is seen as a strong opposition figure, but governing requires more than criticism—it demands vision and unity," noted one commentator from a Berlin-based think tank. The CDU's internal squabbles, including debates over candidate selections and alliances with other parties like the Christian Social Union (CSU) in Bavaria, have further eroded trust. Recent gaffes, such as Merz's controversial remarks on social benefits and migration, have fueled media narratives portraying him as out of touch with everyday Germans struggling with rising living costs.

The survey also contextualizes these findings within the broader political landscape. With federal elections slated for 2025, the CDU/CSU alliance is currently leading in national polls, often hovering around 30-32% support, ahead of the SPD's 25-28%. Yet, this lead does not translate into perceived governing competence, suggesting that voters might be drawn to the CDU more out of dissatisfaction with the incumbents than genuine enthusiasm. The rise of the AfD, polling at around 15-18%, poses an additional challenge, as it siphons off conservative voters disillusioned with the CDU's moderation on issues like EU integration and asylum policies.

In response to the survey results, CDU spokespeople have downplayed the negativity, emphasizing ongoing efforts to refine their platform. "We are in a phase of renewal, and these numbers reflect the challenges of opposition," a party official stated. Merz himself has (via social media) has addressed the criticism, vowing to present a comprehensive government program in the coming months that addresses voter concerns. Initiatives include town hall meetings, policy workshops, and collaborations with experts to bolster the party's image on economic recovery and security.

This survey echoes similar sentiments from previous polls, such as one last year that showed comparable doubts about the CDU's direction. It also aligns with broader European trends where center-right parties are grappling with identity crises in the face of populism and economic uncertainty. For Germany, a powerhouse economy navigating post-pandemic recovery and the green transition, the stakes are high. If the CDU cannot convince voters of its readiness, it risks prolonging the current coalition's hold or, worse, paving the way for more fragmented governance.

Looking ahead, the CDU faces a critical juncture. Merz's team is reportedly accelerating preparations for the election campaign, focusing on themes like innovation, defense spending, and family support to appeal to a wider base. Whether these measures will shift public opinion remains to be seen, but the survey serves as a wake-up call: readiness to govern is not just about polls—it's about perception, policy depth, and leadership that unites rather than divides.

The implications extend beyond the CDU. For Chancellor Scholz and his coalition, the survey offers a silver lining, suggesting that despite their own approval dips, the opposition's vulnerabilities could buy them time. However, with economic forecasts predicting sluggish growth and ongoing debates over Ukraine aid, no party can afford complacency. As Germany approaches its electoral crossroads, this poll underscores the electorate's demand for competence and clarity in an increasingly complex world.

In summary, while the CDU under Merz enjoys polling advantages, the path to power is fraught with perceptual hurdles. The survey paints a picture of a party in transition, one that must bridge the gap between opposition bravado and governing gravitas to win back the nation's trust. (Word count: 928)

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