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Will the Earthquake Affect Politics and War in Myanmar?

The earthquake that struck Myanmar on November 16, 2023, has the potential to significantly impact the country's ongoing political and military dynamics. The disaster has exacerbated the already dire humanitarian situation, particularly in regions controlled by ethnic armed groups and those affected by the military junta's actions. The earthquake's aftermath could strain the military's resources, potentially weakening its grip on power as it diverts attention and funds to disaster response. Conversely, it might also provide the military with an opportunity to assert control under the guise of emergency management. The disaster could also affect the ongoing civil conflict, as both the military and resistance groups may need to adjust their strategies in response to the new challenges posed by the earthquake's devastation. International aid and attention to Myanmar's crisis might increase, putting additional pressure on the military regime to address the needs of the affected populations and possibly influencing the broader political landscape.

Read the Full Council Article at:
[ https://www.cfr.org/blog/will-earthquake-affect-politics-and-war-myanmar ]